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Uzbekistan U23 vs Bangladesh U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan U23 play Bangladesh U23 in the AFC Asian Cup U23 2022. Uzbekistan U23 are favorites here. Recently, Uzbekistan U23 averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Bangladesh U23 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Uzbekistan U23 won 5, Bangladesh U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 30, 2021 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.65 for Uzbekistan U23 and 1.00 for Bangladesh U23. This points to a Uzbekistan U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Uzbekistan U23
30%
Draws
34%
Bangladesh U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uzbekistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bangladesh U23.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Uzbekistan U23.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Bangladesh U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U23 Bangladesh U23
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs Bangladesh U23
6:0
Aug 14, 2018 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs Bangladesh U23
3:0
Mar 29, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Bangladesh U23 vs Uzbekistan U23
0:4
Sep 18, 2014 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs Bangladesh U23
3:0
Nov 7, 2010 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs Bangladesh U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khoshimov U.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Begimov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bangladesh U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U23 36 / 100
Bangladesh U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U23 Bangladesh U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U23 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Bangladesh U23 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Uzbekistan U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bangladesh U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U23 VS Bangladesh U23
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Qatar U2332109:17
2Syria U2331206:15
3Yemen U2331113:34
4Sri Lanka U2330030:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran U2333009:29
2Tajikistan U2332019:36
3Lebanon U2331024:33
4Nepal U2330030:140
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iraq U2322007:06
2Bahrain U2321013:33
3Maldives U2320020:70
4Afghanistan U2300000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kuwait U2322003:16
2Saudi Arabia U2321014:23
3Bangladesh U2320020:40
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1United Arab Emirates U2332014:26
2India U2331112:24
3Kyrgyzstan U2331112:24
4Oman U2331022:43
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jordan U2321102:14
2Turkmenistan U2321013:23
3Palestine U2320112:41
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U2322004:26
2Indonesia U2320022:40
3China U2300000:00
4Brunei U2300000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U23330014:19
2Singapore U2331114:74
3Timor-Leste U2331113:84
4Philippines U2330030:50
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam U2322002:06
2Myanmar U2321011:13
3Chinese Taipei U2320020:20
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malaysia U2332102:07
2Thailand U2331204:15
3Laos U2331023:63
4Mongolia U2330123:51
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U2322008:06
2Cambodia U2321014:63
3Hong Kong U2320022:80