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Uzbekistan U23 vs Bangladesh U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Khoshimov U.
14' Event
Begimov E.
17' Event
Khoshimov U.

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan U23 in this AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Uzbekistan U23
30%
Draws
28%
Bangladesh U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uzbekistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U23 have won more games recently than Bangladesh U23.
  • Model gives Uzbekistan U23 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Uzbekistan U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uzbekistan U23, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Uzbekistan U23 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Bangladesh U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U23 Bangladesh U23
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 2.03 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs Bangladesh U23
6:0
Aug 14, 2018 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs Bangladesh U23
3:0
Mar 29, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Bangladesh U23 vs Uzbekistan U23
0:4
Sep 18, 2014 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs Bangladesh U23
3:0
Nov 7, 2010 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs Bangladesh U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khoshimov U.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Begimov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bangladesh U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U23 95 / 100
Bangladesh U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U23 Bangladesh U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uzbekistan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uzbekistan U23 scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Bangladesh U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Uzbekistan U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U23 VS Bangladesh U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan U23

(Home)
03 Oct
China U23
3 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
30 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Kuwait U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
Page 1 of 7

Bangladesh U23

(Away)
07 Jun
Maldives
1 : 1
Bangladesh U23
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Pakistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
09 Sept
Singapore U23
1 : 4
Bangladesh U23
06 Sept
Bangladesh U23
0 : 1
Yemen U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Syria U23 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 Yemen U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Tajikistan U23 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Bahrain U23 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Maldives U23 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
4 Afghanistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kuwait U23 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Bangladesh U23 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 India U23 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Oman U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Turkmenistan U23 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Palestine U23 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Indonesia U23 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
3 China U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Brunei U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Singapore U23 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Myanmar U23 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Chinese Taipei U23 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
2 Thailand U23 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Laos U23 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Cambodia U23 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 Hong Kong U23 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)