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Uzbekistan U23 vs Mali U23

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Coulibaly F.
37'
Jaloliddinov J.
39'
Cisset M.

AI Match Summary

Mali U23 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mali U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Uzbekistan U23
6%
Draws
90%
Mali U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U23 have won more games recently than Mali U23.
  • Model gives Mali U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U23 Mali U23
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.63 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U23 vs Mali U23
1:2
Jun 7, 2024 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U23 vs Mali U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Norchaev K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Mali U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.43
Avg xA / game 1.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U23 10 / 100
Mali U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U23 Mali U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U23 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Mali U23 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Uzbekistan U23 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U23 VS Mali U23
2.63 Goals Scored 2.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan U23

(Home)
08 Jun
USA U21
0 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
Japan U21
30 Mar
Albania U21
3 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
27 Mar
Russia U21
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
17 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
China U23
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Mali U23

(Away)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
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