Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uzbekistan U23 vs Turkmenistan U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Muradov B.
46'
Sub
Galkin R. In: Zhumaev V.
Out: Galkin R.
50'
Berdiyev D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Uzbekistan U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Uzbekistan U23
22%
Draws
60%
Turkmenistan U23
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Turkmenistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uzbekistan U23 come out ahead of Turkmenistan U23 on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Turkmenistan U23 taking it.
  • Uzbekistan U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uzbekistan U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Turkmenistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U23 Turkmenistan U23
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.63 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs Turkmenistan U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U23 18 / 100
Turkmenistan U23 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U23 Turkmenistan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TKM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U23's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Turkmenistan U23 conceded in 82% of 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Uzbekistan U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U23 VS Turkmenistan U23
2.63 Goals Scored 2.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan U23

(Home)
08 Jun
USA U21
0 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
Japan U21
30 Mar
Albania U21
3 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
27 Mar
Russia U21
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
17 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
China U23
Page 1 of 7

Turkmenistan U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Jordan U23
2 : 1
Turkmenistan U23
06 Sept
Bhutan U23
0 : 2
Turkmenistan U23
03 Sept
Turkmenistan U23
5 : 1
Chinese Taipei U23
12 Sept
Turkmenistan U23
0 : 2
Indonesia U23
06 Sept
Chinese Taipei U23
0 : 4
Turkmenistan U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U2332108:17
2Turkmenistan U2331114:44
3Iran U2330213:42
4Qatar U2330213:92
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U2332104:17
2Iraq U2331205:35
3Jordan U2331112:24
4Kuwait U2330031:60
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U2332106:27
2Vietnam U2331205:35
3Thailand U2331115:34
4Malaysia U2330031:90
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saudi Arabia U2332107:07
2Japan U2332105:17
3United Arab Emirates U2331023:43
4Tajikistan U2330030:100
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Play Offs)