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Uzbekistan W vs Papua New Guinea W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women
Uzbekistan W Logo

Uzbekistan W

Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Papua New Guinea W Logo

Papua New Guinea W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the World Cup Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Uzbekistan W have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Papua New Guinea W's 3.21 scored and 1.03 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 2.00, favoring Papua New Guinea W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Uzbekistan W
20%
Draws
56%
Papua New Guinea W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Papua New Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Papua New Guinea W a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Papua New Guinea W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Uzbekistan W Clean Sheet 10%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan W Papua New Guinea W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.93 3.21
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan W 10 / 100
Papua New Guinea W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan W Papua New Guinea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Papua New Guinea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Uzbekistan W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Papua New Guinea W has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Papua New Guinea W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan W VS Papua New Guinea W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan W

(Home)
09 Oct
Morocco W
3 : 1
Uzbekistan W
25 Sept
South Korea W
6 : 3
Uzbekistan W
21 Sept
Uzbekistan W
2 : 1
Hong Kong W
17 Sept
Uzbekistan W
1 : 1
China W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
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Papua New Guinea W

(Away)
03 Oct
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 2
Vanuatu W
29 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 1
Solomon Islands W
26 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
2 : 0
Vanuatu W
20 Sept
New Caledonia W
1 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
17 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ecuador W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ghana W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 South Africa W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Papua New Guinea W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Uzbekistan W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)