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Vaajakoski vs Jaro 2

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C Vaajakosken keskuskentta, Vaajakoski
Vaajakoski Logo

Vaajakoski

5 - 2
FT
Jaro 2 Logo

Jaro 2

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Laakso J.
16' Event
Salmi E.
31' Event
Salmi E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C game between Vaajakoski and Jaro 2 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaajakoski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Vaajakoski
20%
Draws
10%
Jaro 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vaajakoski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Vaajakoski carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vaajakoski a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 14%
Jaro 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaajakoski Jaro 2
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.21 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Jaro 2
5:2
May 3, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
Jaro 2 vs Vaajakoski
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmi E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tuppurainen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Jaro 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Laakso J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyman L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaajakoski 84 / 100
Jaro 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaajakoski Jaro 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jaro 2 conceded in 83% of 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vaajakoski's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Vaajakoski remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaajakoski VS Jaro 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaajakoski

(Home)
12 Sept
SJK Akatemia 2
2 : 1
Vaajakoski
06 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 0
JS Hercules
22 Aug
TP-47
4 : 2
Vaajakoski
15 Aug
Vaajakoski
1 : 1
GBK Kokkola
08 Aug
Vaajakoski
3 : 2
VPS 2
Page 1 of 6

Jaro 2

(Away)
12 Sept
Jaro 2
0 : 6
Huima / Urho
06 Sept
Jaro 2
1 : 4
VPS 2
02 Sept
Narpes Kraft
2 : 1
Jaro 2
28 Aug
GBK Kokkola
2 : 2
Jaro 2
22 Aug
JS Hercules
3 : 1
Jaro 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huima / Urho 18 11 3 4 50:26 36
2 GBK Kokkola 18 10 2 6 43:33 32
3 JBK 18 10 1 7 37:24 31
4 VPS 2 18 7 4 7 47:36 25
5 Jaro 2 18 8 1 9 33:54 25
6 Narpes Kraft 18 7 2 9 50:45 23
7 TP-47 18 6 5 7 28:35 23
8 Vaajakoski 18 6 3 9 34:44 21
9 JS Hercules 18 6 3 9 31:42 21
10 SJK Akatemia 2 18 5 4 9 27:41 19
Promotion - Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage)