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Vaajakoski vs Jaro 2

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C Vaajakosken keskuskentta
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vaajakoski host Jaro 2 in the Kakkonen Group C. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Vaajakoski have averaged 2.25 scored and 2.63 conceded recently, against Jaro 2's 2 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Jaro 2 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (2.06 - 2.31) back Jaro 2 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vaajakoski
6%
Draws
4%
Jaro 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vaajakoski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vaajakoski carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vaajakoski a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 10%
Jaro 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaajakoski Jaro 2
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 2.25 2
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
Jaro 2 vs Vaajakoski
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaajakoski 83 / 100
Jaro 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaajakoski Jaro 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaajakoski found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Jaro 2 let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Recent resilience: Vaajakoski stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vaajakoski VS Jaro 2
2.25 Goals Scored 2
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jaro 21070322:2821
2GBK Kokkola1160525:2318
3Huima / Urho1052328:2017
4Narpes Kraft1051434:2116
5TP-471144322:2116
6VPS 21034325:2013
7JBK1041516:1413
8SJK Akatemia 21041516:2013
9Vaajakoski1132620:2811
10JS Hercules1131717:3010