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Vaajakoski vs MPS

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2016
Vaajakoski Logo

Vaajakoski

2 - 1
FT
MPS Logo

MPS

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Goljahanpoor A.
25'
Hietala A.
29' Event
Lohi N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A 2016 game between Vaajakoski and MPS finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaajakoski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vaajakoski
20%
Draws
40%
MPS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vaajakoski carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vaajakoski taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 13%
MPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaajakoski MPS
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 2.06 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs MPS
2:1
Jul 3, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Vaajakoski
3:3
Sep 10, 2006 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Vaajakoski
3:1
Jun 4, 2006 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs MPS
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Goljahanpoor A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lohi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

MPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Vesterinen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaajakoski 84 / 100
MPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaajakoski MPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MPS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Vaajakoski scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Difficult form: MPS registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vaajakoski VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaajakoski

(Home)
19 Sept
Vaajakoski
0 : 1
TP-47
12 Sept
SJK Akatemia 2
2 : 1
Vaajakoski
06 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 0
JS Hercules
22 Aug
TP-47
4 : 2
Vaajakoski
15 Aug
Vaajakoski
1 : 1
GBK Kokkola
Page 1 of 7

MPS

(Away)
11 Apr
MPS
0 : 7
EBK
01 Oct
MPS
1 : 1
KaPa
25 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 1
MPS
18 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
MPS
11 Sept
MPS
3 : 2
Kultsu Joutseno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gnistan 22 15 3 4 45:25 48
2 KuFu-98 22 13 4 5 42:23 43
3 Mikkelin 22 11 3 8 44:36 36
4 JaPS 22 7 10 5 33:23 31
5 Lahti/69 22 8 7 7 31:32 31
6 PEPO 22 9 3 10 39:32 30
7 Kultsu Joutseno 22 9 3 10 30:27 30
8 KaPa 22 8 6 8 27:30 30
9 Sudet 22 7 5 10 32:39 26
10 FC Futura 22 7 3 12 31:48 24
11 Vaajakoski 22 5 7 10 31:46 22
12 MPS 22 3 6 13 23:47 15
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)