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Vaajakoski vs TP-47

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C Vaajakosken keskuskentta, Vaajakoski
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Schroderus O.
30' Event
Kulju H.
45' Event
Salmi E.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C game between Vaajakoski and TP-47 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaajakoski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vaajakoski
20%
Draws
29%
TP-47
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vaajakoski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaajakoski carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Vaajakoski taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 20%
TP-47 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaajakoski TP-47
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 2.21 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs TP-47
3:2
Oct 7, 2023 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs TP-47
2:0
Jul 22, 2023 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs Vaajakoski
0:1
Sep 17, 2011 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs Vaajakoski
11:3
Jun 29, 2011 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs TP-47
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroderus O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salmi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

TP-47 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulju H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaajakoski 49 / 100
TP-47 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaajakoski TP-47

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TP-47's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Vaajakoski's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Vaajakoski remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaajakoski VS TP-47
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaajakoski

(Home)
15 Aug
Vaajakoski
1 : 1
GBK Kokkola
08 Aug
Vaajakoski
3 : 2
VPS 2
01 Aug
JBK
4 : 0
Vaajakoski
26 Jul
Narpes Kraft
2 : 3
Vaajakoski
17 Jul
Vaajakoski
0 : 1
Huima / Urho
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TP-47

(Away)
08 Aug
TP-47
2 : 1
Narpes Kraft
01 Aug
Huima / Urho
4 : 0
TP-47
23 Jul
TP-47
0 : 1
JS Hercules
18 Jul
Jaro 2
2 : 0
TP-47
12 Jul
SJK Akatemia 2
0 : 0
TP-47
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huima / Urho 16 9 3 4 41:23 30
2 GBK Kokkola 16 9 1 6 38:31 28
3 JBK 16 8 1 7 32:24 25
4 Jaro 2 16 8 1 7 30:45 25
5 VPS 2 16 6 4 6 43:31 22
6 Narpes Kraft 16 7 1 8 47:40 22
7 TP-47 16 5 5 6 24:29 20
8 Vaajakoski 16 6 2 8 31:39 20
9 JS Hercules 16 5 3 8 27:38 18
10 SJK Akatemia 2 16 5 3 8 25:38 18
Promotion - Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage)