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Vaajakoski vs VPS 2

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C Vaajakosken keskuskentta, Vaajakoski
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rajalahti A.
14' Event
Sarkkinen J.
18'
Sub
Myntti A. In: Ajak T.
Out: Myntti A.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C game between Vaajakoski and VPS 2 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaajakoski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vaajakoski
15%
Draws
39%
VPS 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaajakoski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaajakoski haven't matched VPS 2's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Vaajakoski taking it.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vaajakoski have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 10%
VPS 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaajakoski VPS 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2.07 2.6
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs VPS 2
3:2
May 27, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
VPS 2 vs Vaajakoski
2:2
Aug 3, 2019 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs VPS 2
2:1
May 26, 2019 Kakkonen Group C
VPS 2 vs Vaajakoski
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarkkinen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarvinen V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

VPS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajalahti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohamed E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaajakoski 56 / 100
VPS 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaajakoski VPS 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VPS 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Vaajakoski scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Vaajakoski remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaajakoski VS VPS 2
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaajakoski

(Home)
12 Sept
SJK Akatemia 2
2 : 1
Vaajakoski
06 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 0
JS Hercules
22 Aug
TP-47
4 : 2
Vaajakoski
15 Aug
Vaajakoski
1 : 1
GBK Kokkola
08 Aug
Vaajakoski
3 : 2
VPS 2
Page 1 of 6

VPS 2

(Away)
12 Sept
VPS 2
1 : 2
JBK
06 Sept
Jaro 2
1 : 4
VPS 2
02 Sept
VPS 2
6 : 4
GBK Kokkola
29 Aug
Huima / Urho
5 : 0
VPS 2
22 Aug
GBK Kokkola
4 : 1
VPS 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huima / Urho 18 11 3 4 50:26 36
2 GBK Kokkola 18 10 2 6 43:33 32
3 JBK 18 10 1 7 37:24 31
4 VPS 2 18 7 4 7 47:36 25
5 Jaro 2 18 8 1 9 33:54 25
6 Narpes Kraft 18 7 2 9 50:45 23
7 TP-47 18 6 5 7 28:35 23
8 Vaajakoski 18 6 3 9 34:44 21
9 JS Hercules 18 6 3 9 31:42 21
10 SJK Akatemia 2 18 5 4 9 27:41 19
Promotion - Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage)