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Vaca Diez vs Nacional Potosi

Bolivia Bolivia

League Cup 2023 Estadio Roberto Jordán Cuéllar
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Juan Douglas
Assist: Taborga P.
5' Event
Parada F.
Assist: Taborga P.
27'
Taborga P.

AI Match Summary

Vaca Diez in this League Cup 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaca Diez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vaca Diez
6%
Draws
90%
Nacional Potosi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nacional Potosi have won more games recently than Vaca Diez.
  • Win probability leans Nacional Potosi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cup games in League Cup 2023 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nacional Potosi here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaca Diez Nacional Potosi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2023 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Vaca Diez
5:0
Aug 5, 2023 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Vaca Diez
6:1
Apr 27, 2023 Copa Pacena
Vaca Diez vs Nacional Potosi
5:2
Mar 4, 2023 Division Profesional
Vaca Diez vs Nacional Potosi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaca Diez Compare

Top Goalscorer Juan Douglas
2 Goals
Assists Leader Parada F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chiatti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaca Diez 10 / 100
Nacional Potosi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaca Diez Nacional Potosi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Nacional Potosi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Vaca Diez found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Vaca Diez went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nacional Potosi
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolivar1080224:724
2Jorge Wilstermann1052320:1117
3Royal Pari1041514:1513
4Libertad Gran Mamore1041510:1713
5Tomayapo103347:1312
6Oriente Petrolero101367:196
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aurora83415:413
2The Strongest833210:612
3Guabira83239:711
4Atletico Palmaflor82425:510
5Santa Cruz81344:116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blooming1071216:822
2Always Ready1043320:1715
3Club Universitario de Vinto1043317:1715
4Nacional Potosi1033420:1712
5Vaca Diez1040614:2112
6Independiente1022610:178