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Vach vs Erlangen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
Vach Logo

Vach

2 - 1
FT
Erlangen Logo

Erlangen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vach in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vach
20%
Draws
40%
Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Erlangen haven't matched Vach's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vach taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vach Clean Sheet 13%
Erlangen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vach Erlangen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.4 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Vach
0:2
Aug 5, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Vach vs Erlangen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vach 84 / 100
Erlangen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vach Erlangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vach's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Erlangen has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Erlangen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vach VS Erlangen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vach

(Home)
18 May
ATSV Erlangen
4 : 1
Vach
11 May
Vach
1 : 2
Bayern Hof
04 May
Wurzburger FV
3 : 3
Vach
28 Apr
Vach
0 : 3
Gebenbach
22 Apr
Ansbach
1 : 3
Vach
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Erlangen

(Away)
02 Jul
Erlangen
1 : 1
Ansbach
14 Feb
Stadeln
1 : 3
Erlangen
17 Feb
Ansbach
5 : 1
Erlangen
25 Jan
Furth II
6 : 0
Erlangen
21 Aug
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Erlangen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TSV Aubstadt 34 24 4 6 83:27 76
2 Gebenbach 34 22 7 5 83:42 73
3 Wurzburger FV 34 20 6 8 67:39 66
4 Grossbardorf 34 20 5 9 67:39 65
5 SV Seligenporten 34 18 8 8 69:50 62
6 Eltersdorf 34 15 8 11 56:45 53
7 Bayern Hof 34 14 7 13 54:45 49
8 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 14 6 14 44:39 48
9 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 14 6 14 60:69 48
10 Abtswind 34 13 6 15 59:67 45
11 Ansbach 34 11 10 13 68:77 43
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 6 17 51:52 39
13 ATSV Erlangen 34 11 6 17 43:60 39
14 1. FC Sand 34 10 5 19 42:66 35
15 Vach 34 10 3 21 45:76 33
16 Erlangen 34 9 4 21 53:74 31
17 Jahn Forchheim 34 8 6 20 58:86 30
18 ASV Neumarkt 34 7 7 20 35:84 28
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2019/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)