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Vach vs TSV Aubstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
Vach Logo

Vach

2 - 4
FT
TSV Aubstadt Logo

TSV Aubstadt

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TSV Aubstadt in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Aubstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Vach
15%
Draws
36%
TSV Aubstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Aubstadt have won more games recently than Vach.
  • Win probability leans Vach's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vach Clean Sheet 20%
TSV Aubstadt Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vach TSV Aubstadt
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 13
Draws 2 9
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Vach vs TSV Aubstadt
2:4
Jul 14, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Aubstadt vs Vach
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vach 40 / 100
TSV Aubstadt 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vach TSV Aubstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vach's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: TSV Aubstadt conceded in 81% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: TSV Aubstadt registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS TSV Aubstadt
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vach

(Home)
18 May
ATSV Erlangen
4 : 1
Vach
11 May
Vach
1 : 2
Bayern Hof
04 May
Wurzburger FV
3 : 3
Vach
28 Apr
Vach
0 : 3
Gebenbach
22 Apr
Ansbach
1 : 3
Vach
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TSV Aubstadt

(Away)
18 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 2
Bayern II
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
11 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 3
Unterhaching
04 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 0
Ansbach
29 Aug
Vfb Eichstatt
3 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TSV Aubstadt 34 24 4 6 83:27 76
2 Gebenbach 34 22 7 5 83:42 73
3 Wurzburger FV 34 20 6 8 67:39 66
4 Grossbardorf 34 20 5 9 67:39 65
5 SV Seligenporten 34 18 8 8 69:50 62
6 Eltersdorf 34 15 8 11 56:45 53
7 Bayern Hof 34 14 7 13 54:45 49
8 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 14 6 14 44:39 48
9 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 14 6 14 60:69 48
10 Abtswind 34 13 6 15 59:67 45
11 Ansbach 34 11 10 13 68:77 43
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 6 17 51:52 39
13 ATSV Erlangen 34 11 6 17 43:60 39
14 1. FC Sand 34 10 5 19 42:66 35
15 Vach 34 10 3 21 45:76 33
16 Erlangen 34 9 4 21 53:74 31
17 Jahn Forchheim 34 8 6 20 58:86 30
18 ASV Neumarkt 34 7 7 20 35:84 28
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2019/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)