Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vado vs AS Biellese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Raffini S.
39' Event
Raffini S.
41' Event
Naamad J.

AI Match Summary

Vado in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vado
15%
Draws
42%
AS Biellese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Medium Confidence
  • Vado have won more games recently than AS Biellese.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on AS Biellese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Vado Clean Sheet 20%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado AS Biellese
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 3 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs AS Biellese
3:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Vado
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Raffini S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alfiero V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

AS Biellese Compare

Top Goalscorer Naamad J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beltrame S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 28 / 100
AS Biellese 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado AS Biellese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

AS Biellese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: AS Biellese conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS AS Biellese
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
05 Aug
Torino
3 : 1
Vado
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Vado
3 : 0
Folgore Caratese
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AS Biellese

(Away)
09 May
AS Biellese
1 : 2
Varese FC
03 May
Vado
3 : 2
AS Biellese
26 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Gozzano
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1
AS Biellese
12 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)