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Vado vs Barletta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Vita D.
55' Event
Pisanu M.
79'
Saltarelli M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Vado advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Vado
15%
Draws
37%
Barletta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vado come out ahead of Barletta on wins alone.
  • Vado are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Vado have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vado, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Vado Clean Sheet 13%
Barletta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Barletta
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 20 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.06 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Barletta
2:0
May 24, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Barletta vs Vado
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Vita D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pisanu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Barletta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 35 / 100
Barletta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Barletta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Vado went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barletta has conceded goals in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS Barletta
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
14 Aug
Vado
2 : 1
Inter U23
10 Aug
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Vado
05 Aug
Torino
3 : 1
Vado
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
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Barletta

(Away)
14 Aug
Picerno
2 : 1
Barletta
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Scafatese
1 : 1
Barletta
10 May
Barletta
2 : 1
A.C. Savoia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vado 3
Barletta 2
Desenzano Calvina 1
Scafatese 2
Final
Vado 0
Scafatese 6