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Vado vs Casale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Di Renzo L.
55' Event
Di Renzo L.
57' Event
Castelletto E.

AI Match Summary

Vado in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vado
30%
Draws
23%
Casale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Casale haven't matched Vado's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vado's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Vado Clean Sheet 20%
Casale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Casale
Matches Played 46 30
Wins 29 1
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 24
Goals Scored 1.96 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.02 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Casale
6:0
Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Vado
1:1
Feb 6, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Casale
1:4
Oct 2, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Vado
1:1
Jun 6, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Vado
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Renzo L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castelletto E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Casale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 42 / 100
Casale 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Casale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (46 games).

Casale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Casale lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0
Vado
21 Aug
Vado
2 : 0
Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 10

Casale

(Away)
07 May
Casale
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1
Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2
Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2
Castanese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)