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Vado vs Ligorna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Vado Logo

Vado

0 - 0
FT
Ligorna Logo

Ligorna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vado
15%
Draws
85%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ligorna have won more games recently than Vado.
  • Ligorna are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vado Clean Sheet 16%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Ligorna
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 17 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.82 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Ligorna
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Vado
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Ligorna
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Vado
2:3
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Ligorna
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 11 / 100
Ligorna 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Ligorna conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Ligorna's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS Ligorna
1.75 Goals Scored 1.4
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.6
100% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
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Ligorna

(Away)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)