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Vado vs RapalloBogliasco

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RapalloBogliasco in this Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored RapalloBogliasco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Vado
20%
Draws
64%
RapalloBogliasco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RapalloBogliasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • RapalloBogliasco have won more games recently than Vado.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on RapalloBogliasco taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vado Clean Sheet 18%
RapalloBogliasco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado RapalloBogliasco
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.84 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs RapalloBogliasco
2:3
Oct 25, 2015 Serie D - Group A
RapalloBogliasco vs Vado
1:2
Feb 15, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs RapalloBogliasco
0:1
Oct 5, 2014 Serie D - Group A
RapalloBogliasco vs Vado
1:2
May 4, 2014 Serie D - Group A
RapalloBogliasco vs Vado
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 23 / 100
RapalloBogliasco 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado RapalloBogliasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RapalloBogliasco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

RapalloBogliasco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

RapalloBogliasco's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
Page 1 of 7

RapalloBogliasco

(Away)
08 May
RapalloBogliasco
0 : 3
Lavagnese
01 May
Fezzanese
3 : 2
RapalloBogliasco
24 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
17 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
RapalloBogliasco
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)