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Vado vs Sambenedettese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vado host Sambenedettese in the Serie C - Group B. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Vado at 1.68 goals for, 1.21 against; Sambenedettese at 1.07 for, 1.37 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.31, favoring Vado. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vado
20%
Draws
40%
Sambenedettese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vado lately — more wins on the board than Sambenedettese.
  • Vado are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vado Clean Sheet 18%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Sambenedettese
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 36 / 100
Sambenedettese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Sambenedettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Sambenedettese conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Sambenedettese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Vado has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS Sambenedettese
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0
Forli FC
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
Page 1 of 6

Sambenedettese

(Away)
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
3 Grosseto 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
13 Ostiamare 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
16 Gubbio 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
17 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pianese 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)