Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Vaengirs in this Icelandic Cup 2016 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaengirs
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vaengirs lately — more wins on the board than Midas.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Vaengirs taking it.
- Vaengirs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Vaengirs, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vaengirs Clean Sheet 16%
Midas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vaengirs | Midas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 13 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 3.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.34 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Vaengirs vs Midas
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vaengirs 84 / 100
Midas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vaengirs Midas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vaengirs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vaengirs found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (25 games).
Midas has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.
Away concern: Midas has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Vaengirs VS Midas
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 4.8
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Vaengirs
(Home) 19 Mar
Vaengirs
2 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3 Arbaer
17 Jul
Vaengirs
4 : 0 KFK Kopavogur
13 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 7 Throttur
Page 1 of 6
19 Mar
Vaengirs
2 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3 Arbaer
17 Jul
Vaengirs
4 : 0 KFK Kopavogur
13 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 7 Throttur
Page 1 of 4
Midas
(Away) 04 Apr
Midas
1 : 3 RB Keflavik
23 Apr
Midas
0 : 12 Augnablik
12 Jun
Midas
0 : 4 SR Reykjavik
06 Jun
Midas
4 : 1 KM Reykjavik
01 May
Volsungur
4 : 0 Midas
Page 1 of 3
01 May
Volsungur
4 : 0 Midas
18 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 2 Midas
22 Apr
Vidir
4 : 1 Midas
30 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 0 Midas
03 May
Njardvik
8 : 0 Midas
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Hviti 6
Gnupverjar 2
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Reynir 1
Alftanes 0
Vatnaliljur 1
Hamar 2
KH Hlidarendi 8
Snaefell 0
TBD -
Vestri -
Vidir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Berserkir 15
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 3
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Kari 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar -
TBD -
Kongarnir 0
KFR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik -
TBD -
Ymir 0
Orninn 4
Tindastoll 2
Dalvik/Reynir 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Stokkseyri 1
Skallagrimur 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 4
Isbjorninn 1
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kria 2
KV Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Hottur 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 2
Arborg 0
Midas 0
Vaengirs 1
Throttur Vogar 2
Stal-Ulfur 1
TBD -
Grotta -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Kjalnesinga 0
Lettir 3
KFS 2
GG Grindavik 1
Aegir 0
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 0
Magni 15
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
Fram 1
Afturelding 0
Hviti 0
Kopavogur 1
Reynir 4
Hamar 1
KH Hlidarendi 0
Vestri 4
Vidir 4
Berserkir 1
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar 4
KFR 0
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik 1
Orninn 0
Tindastoll 1
KA Akureyri 2
Keflavik 2
Skallagrimur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 5
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn 1
Hottur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 1
Volsungur 2
Augnablik 3
Vaengirs 2
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 8
Lettir 0
KFS 1
KFG Gardabaer 9
Fjallabyggd 3
Magni 2
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
Fram 2
Kopavogur 0
Reynir 1
Vestri 2
Vidir 2
Sindri 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur 1
Fjolnir 0
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Keflavik 1
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 3
Kria 0
KV Reykjavik 0
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 3
Olafsvik 2
Huginn 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 1
Grotta 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Hafnarfjordur 9
1/8-finals
Fram 3
Vestri 2
Vidir 3
Selfoss 4
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 0
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 2
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 4
Grotta 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 4
Quarter-finals
Fram 0
Selfoss 2
Valur 5
Fylkir 0
Breidablik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Throttur 0
Hafnarfjordur 3
Semi-finals
Selfoss 1
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Final
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
