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Vaengirs vs Throttur

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Pettersen J.
42' Event
Bjornsson S.
45' Event
Bjornsson S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-7, with Throttur advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Vaengirs
15%
Draws
68%
Throttur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Throttur come out ahead of Vaengirs on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Throttur's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Throttur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Throttur, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Throttur here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vaengirs Clean Sheet 17%
Throttur Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaengirs Throttur
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 10 23
Draws 1 4
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 2.19 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.23 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Vaengirs vs Throttur
1:7
Apr 20, 2018 Icelandic Cup
Vaengirs vs Throttur
0:2
May 20, 2015 Icelandic Cup
Throttur vs Vaengirs
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaengirs Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnthorsson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornsson S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ivarsson I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaengirs 15 / 100
Throttur 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaengirs Throttur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vaengirs scored in 84% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Throttur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Vaengirs stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Throttur
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaengirs

(Home)
19 Mar
Vaengirs
2 : 3
Haukar
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2
KA Asvellir
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3
Arbaer
17 Jul
Vaengirs
4 : 0
KFK Kopavogur
13 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 7
Throttur
Page 1 of 6

Throttur

(Away)
13 Sept
Throttur
2 : 1
Njardvik
09 Sept
Njardvik
0 : 1
Throttur
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
22 Aug
Kopavogur
3 : 0
Throttur
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
KFG Gardabaer 6
Hamar 2
Hviti 5
TBD -
Grindavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFR 4
KFK Kopavogur 8
Vidir 2
Sindri 1
Spyrnir 0
Hottur / Huginn 5
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 6
Hordur Isafjordur 2
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 5
Reynir 1
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Selfoss -
Stokkseyri -
Kari 5
IBU 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
Augnablik 7
Alftanes 1
SR Reykjavik 2
Kormakur/Hvot 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur Vogar 1
KA Asvellir 3
Midas 1
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 3
KFS 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Skallagrimur 1
Aegir 3
Haukar 20
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 12
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Smari 2
Arbaer 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Lettir 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Ymir 11
Thorlakur 0
Hafnir 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Kria 1
Ulfarnir 2
Ellidi 0
Olafsvik 3
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tindastoll 7
Samherjar 0
TBD -
Magni -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
KFG Gardabaer 1
Hviti 0
Grindavik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
KFK Kopavogur 0
Vidir 3
Hottur / Huginn 2
Volsungur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 1
Throttur 7
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 3
Kari 1
Grotta 3
Njardvik 2
Thor Akureyri 5
KFA 1
Augnablik 5
Kormakur/Hvot 2
TBD -
Stjarnan -
KA Asvellir 6
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 7
Aegir 2
Haukar 3
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 1
Arbaer 2
TBD -
Fram -
IH Hafnarfjordur 5
Ymir 4
Hafnir 3
Ulfarnir 0
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Tindastoll 2
Magni 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Grindavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Vidir 1
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir 1
Throttur 1
Kopavogur 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 2
Grotta 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Augnablik 1
Stjarnan 2
KA Asvellir 2
KR Reykjavik 9
KA Akureyri 2
IR Reykjavik 1
Haukar 2
Vestri 4
Arbaer 0
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
Hafnir 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 1
Akranes 3
Tindastoll 0
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Valur 3
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
Grindavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 3
Kopavogur 1
Fjolnir 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Stjarnan 5
KR Reykjavik 3
KA Akureyri 3
Vestri 1
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Keflavik 3
Akranes 1
Afturelding 1
Valur 3
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Fylkir 1
Thor Akureyri 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Fram 0
Keflavik 3
Valur 4
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 2
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
KA Akureyri 2