Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vag vs Egersund

Norway Norway

NM Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lynum J.
Assist: Jonsson I.
28' Event
Hardarson H.
Assist: Lynum J.
34' Event
Hardarson H.
Assist: Jonsson I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-5. This leg finished 2-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Vag
20%
Draws
36%
Egersund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vag lately — more wins on the board than Egersund.
  • Win probability leans Vag's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Vag have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Egersund, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%
Egersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Egersund
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.84 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NM Cup
Vag vs Egersund
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Egersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Hardarson H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lynum J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 40 / 100
Egersund 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Egersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Egersund let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Vag stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Egersund
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vag

(Home)
12 Sept
Haugesund 2
0 : 3
Vag
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
30 Aug
Hinna
3 : 0
Vag
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
15 Aug
Vag
1 : 2
Mandalskameratene
Page 1 of 7

Egersund

(Away)
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
30 Aug
Egersund
2 : 2
Asane
26 Aug
Haugesund
3 : 0
Egersund
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
16 Aug
Egersund
0 : 4
Stabaek
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
1/32-finals
Alta -
Tromso -
Floya -
Rosenborg -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Levanger -
Ranheim -
Stjordals Blink -
Fredrikstad -
Trygg/Lade -
Molde -
Brattvag -
Kristiansund -
Traeff -
Hodd -
Forde -
Aalesund -
Sotra -
Sogndal -
Sandviken -
Asane -
OS TF -
Brann -
Bjarg -
Bryne -
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Madla IL -
Viking -
Vindbjart -
Start -
Jerv -
Egersund -
Arendal -
Sandnes Ulf -
Pors -
Stabaek -
Notodden -
Odds BK -
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum -
Raufoss -
Eidsvold TF -
Kongsvinger -
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Skeid -
Valerenga -
Kjelsas -
Ham-Kam -
Gamle Oslo -
Lyn -
Grorud -
Moss -
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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