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Vag vs Flekkeroy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Mertens R.
90' Event
Grude J.

AI Match Summary

Flekkeroy in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flekkeroy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Vag
20%
Draws
28%
Flekkeroy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flekkeroy lately — more wins on the board than Vag.
  • Win probability leans Vag's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Vag Clean Sheet 12%
Flekkeroy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Flekkeroy
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Flekkeroy
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Flekkeroy Compare

Top Goalscorer Mertens R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grude J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 83 / 100
Flekkeroy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Flekkeroy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Flekkeroy let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Vag remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Flekkeroy
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vag

(Home)
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
26 Sept
Viking 2
1 : 2
Vag
19 Sept
Vag
2 : 2
Brodd
12 Sept
Haugesund 2
0 : 3
Vag
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
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Flekkeroy

(Away)
03 Oct
Vindbjart
1 : 2
Flekkeroy
27 Sept
Stabaek 2
1 : 2
Flekkeroy
19 Sept
Flekkeroy
1 : 1
Varhaug
12 Sept
Mandalskameratene
3 : 1
Flekkeroy
05 Sept
Flekkeroy
0 : 2
Madla IL
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