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Vag vs Flekkeroy

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Mertens R.
90' Event
Grude J.

AI Match Summary

Flekkeroy in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flekkeroy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Vag
22%
Draws
60%
Flekkeroy
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Flekkeroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vag lately — more wins on the board than Flekkeroy.
  • Win probability leans Flekkeroy's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%
Flekkeroy Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Flekkeroy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Flekkeroy
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Flekkeroy Compare

Top Goalscorer Mertens R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grude J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 18 / 100
Flekkeroy 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Flekkeroy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Flekkeroy let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Vag has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Flekkeroy
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%