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Vag vs Mandalskameratene

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vag host Mandalskameratene in the Division 3 - Group 4. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Vag have averaged 1.38 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Mandalskameratene's 2.13 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Mandalskameratene slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 2.13) back Mandalskameratene to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vag
39%
Draws
30%
Mandalskameratene
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vag come out ahead of Mandalskameratene on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%
Mandalskameratene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Mandalskameratene
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Mandalskameratene vs Vag
2:1
Apr 10, 2010 NM Cup
Vag vs Mandalskameratene
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 30 / 100
Mandalskameratene 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Mandalskameratene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Mandalskameratene's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vag remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Mandalskameratene
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vag

(Home)
27 Jul
Odds BK 2
1 : 1
Vag
25 Jun
Vag
3 : 2
Viking 2
21 Jun
Mandalskameratene
2 : 1
Vag
15 Jun
Vag
3 : 2
Stabaek 2
30 May
Vag
0 : 1
Staal Jorpeland
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Mandalskameratene

(Away)
25 Jul
Mandalskameratene
8 : 3
Staal Jorpeland
27 Jun
Madla IL
2 : 2
Mandalskameratene
21 Jun
Mandalskameratene
2 : 1
Vag
13 Jun
Brodd
1 : 3
Mandalskameratene
31 May
Stabaek 2
8 : 4
Mandalskameratene
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