Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vag vs Mandalskameratene - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Valand S.
27' Event
Tveitdal L. E.
71' Event
Abrahamsen A. M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Vag and Mandalskameratene finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mandalskameratene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vag
15%
Draws
46%
Mandalskameratene
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mandalskameratene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mandalskameratene come out ahead of Vag on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mandalskameratene a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mandalskameratene here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%
Mandalskameratene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Mandalskameratene
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.66 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Mandalskameratene
1:2
Jun 21, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Mandalskameratene vs Vag
2:1
Apr 10, 2010 NM Cup
Vag vs Mandalskameratene
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Tveitdal L. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mandalskameratene Compare

Top Goalscorer Valand S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abrahamsen A. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 26 / 100
Mandalskameratene 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Mandalskameratene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mandalskameratene Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vag has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Mandalskameratene conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Mandalskameratene
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vag

(Home)
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
26 Sept
Viking 2
1 : 2
Vag
19 Sept
Vag
2 : 2
Brodd
12 Sept
Haugesund 2
0 : 3
Vag
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
Page 1 of 6

Mandalskameratene

(Away)
03 Oct
Akra
0 : 4
Mandalskameratene
26 Sept
Mandalskameratene
4 : 0
Odds BK 2
19 Sept
Vindbjart
0 : 1
Mandalskameratene
12 Sept
Mandalskameratene
3 : 1
Flekkeroy
05 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
0 : 2
Mandalskameratene
Page 1 of 6