Sport Picks

Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League National Soccer Stadium

Vaivase-Tai

1 - 1

Pago Youth

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Itamua F.

47'

Scanlan P.

54'

Collins J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League game between Vaivase-Tai and Pago Youth finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Vaivase-Tai

22%

Draws

60%

Pago Youth

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pago Youth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Pago Youth haven't matched Vaivase-Tai's recent run of results.
60% — that's where the model lands on Pago Youth taking it.
European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Vaivase-Tai Clean Sheet 20%

Pago Youth Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vaivase-Tai	Pago Youth
Matches Played	9	14
Wins	3	0
Draws	3	3
Losses	3	11
Goals Scored	2.63	1
Goals Conceded	2.63	5.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	5.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 OFC Champions League

Vaivase-Tai vs Pago Youth

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaivase-Tai Compare

Top Goalscorer Scanlan P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Pago Youth Compare

Top Goalscorer Collins J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaivase-Tai 20 / 100

Pago Youth 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vaivase-Tai Pago Youth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pago Youth let in goals in 100% of their last 14 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Vaivase-Tai has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pago Youth's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaivase-Tai VS Pago Youth

2.63 Goals Scored 1

2.63 Goals Conceded 5.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tupapa	3	2	1	0	7:1	7
2	Vaivase-Tai	3	1	2	0	7:5	5
3	Pago Youth	3	0	2	1	3:6	2
4	Nukuhetulu	3	0	1	2	5:10	1