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Vakhsh vs Hulbuk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Vakhsh Logo

Vakhsh

1 - 1
FT
Hulbuk Logo

Hulbuk

Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Turakhonov K.
74' Event
Bikatal T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga 2025 game between Vakhsh and Hulbuk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Vakhsh
35%
Draws
16%
Hulbuk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vakhsh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vakhsh come out ahead of Hulbuk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vakhsh's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 68%
Hulbuk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vakhsh Hulbuk
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 11 2
Draws 13 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.43 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Hulbuk vs Vakhsh
0:2
May 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Hulbuk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vakhsh Compare

Top Goalscorer Bikatal T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hulbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Turakhonov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vakhsh 95 / 100
Hulbuk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vakhsh Hulbuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vakhsh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vakhsh found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Hulbuk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vakhsh remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vakhsh VS Hulbuk
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vakhsh

(Home)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
Page 1 of 6

Hulbuk

(Away)
10 Dec
Sardor Tursunzoda
2 : 0
Hulbuk
07 Dec
Hulbuk
2 : 2
Sardor Tursunzoda
04 Dec
Hulbuk
1 : 5
Istiqlol Dushanbe
10 Nov
Hulbuk
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
02 Nov
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Hulbuk
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)