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Vakhsh vs Istaravshan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh Logo

Vakhsh

1 - 1
FT
Istaravshan Logo

Istaravshan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Vakhsh and Istaravshan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Vakhsh
35%
Draws
9%
Istaravshan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vakhsh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vakhsh come out ahead of Istaravshan on wins alone.
  • Vakhsh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 19%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vakhsh Istaravshan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 1
Draws 11 10
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.18 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Istaravshan
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Vakhsh
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Istaravshan
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Vakhsh
2:3
Nov 7, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Istaravshan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vakhsh 85 / 100
Istaravshan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vakhsh Istaravshan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vakhsh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istaravshan let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vakhsh scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Vakhsh has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vakhsh VS Istaravshan
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vakhsh

(Home)
17 Oct
Vakhsh
3 : 1
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
Page 1 of 6

Istaravshan

(Away)
10 Oct
Istaravshan
0 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 18 10 5 3 35:18 35
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 18 6 5 7 24:20 23
8 Eskhata 18 5 5 8 23:33 20
9 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 17 2 6 9 24:32 12
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)