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Vakhsh vs Sardor Tursunzoda

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Vakhsh host Sardor Tursunzoda in the Vysshaya Liga. This one's hard to separate. Sardor Tursunzoda have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Vakhsh have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Vakhsh slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.31, favoring Vakhsh. Vakhsh in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vakhsh
28%
Draws
22%
Sardor Tursunzoda
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vakhsh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vakhsh has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sardor Tursunzoda.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Vakhsh.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Vysshaya Liga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 18%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vakhsh Sardor Tursunzoda
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 14 2
Draws 13 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Sardor Tursunzoda
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vakhsh 49 / 100
Sardor Tursunzoda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vakhsh Sardor Tursunzoda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vakhsh scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Sardor Tursunzoda let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vakhsh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sardor Tursunzoda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vakhsh VS Sardor Tursunzoda
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Istiqlol Dushanbe1174014:325
2Khosilot Parkhar1273223:1124
3Regar-TadAZ1173115:724
4CSKA Pomir Dushanbe1161414:1219
5Ravshan Kulob1252516:1317
6Barkchi Hisor1251615:1916
7Khujand1244411:1016
8Eskhata1242614:2314
9Vakhsh1235415:1614
10Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov1233610:1712
11Sardor Tursunzoda1213813:216
12Istaravshan110569:175