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Valadares Gaia FC vs Amarante FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Andrezo D.
28' Event
Franco E.
75'
Barandas M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 game between Valadares Gaia FC and Amarante FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Valadares Gaia FC
6%
Draws
90%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amarante FC come out ahead of Valadares Gaia FC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Amarante FC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 22%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia FC Amarante FC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 19
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Amarante FC
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Amarante FC vs Valadares Gaia FC
2:0
Apr 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Amarante FC vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Amarante FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valadares Gaia FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrezo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zakari B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Amarante FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 10 / 100
Amarante FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia FC Amarante FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valadares Gaia FC scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Amarante FC let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Valadares Gaia FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amarante FC
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amarante FC26178140:1559
2Sao Joao de Ver26129527:1845
3Gondomar26127728:2043
4AD Marco 0926118729:2241
5Rebordosa26812627:2336
6Paredes2698931:2535
7SC Salgueiros2698935:2635
8Vitoria Guimaraes B26810835:3234
9Beira Mar26810831:3134
10Florgrade2689924:2433
11Oliveira do Douro26681225:3326
12Valadares Gaia FC26661422:4724
13ACDR Lamelas26731619:3924
14Vila Mea26641627:4522