Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valadares Gaia FC vs Olivais e Moscavide

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Claro A.
45' Event
Vieira V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Valadares Gaia FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Valadares Gaia FC
15%
Draws
59%
Olivais e Moscavide
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olivais e Moscavide

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olivais e Moscavide come out ahead of Valadares Gaia FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Olivais e Moscavide a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Olivais e Moscavide arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Valadares Gaia FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 10%
Olivais e Moscavide Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia FC Olivais e Moscavide
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 2
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2022 Taça de Portugal
Valadares Gaia FC vs Olivais e Moscavide
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valadares Gaia FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Claro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vieira V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Olivais e Moscavide Compare

Avg xG / game 2.24
Avg xA / game 1.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 10 / 100
Olivais e Moscavide 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia FC Olivais e Moscavide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olivais e Moscavide Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia FC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Olivais e Moscavide has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Valadares Gaia FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valadares Gaia FC VS Olivais e Moscavide
1 Goals Scored 2.67
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Valadares Gaia FC

(Home)
07 Apr
SC Salgueiros
6 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
Vila Mea
3 : 3
Valadares Gaia FC
09 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia FC
Page 1 of 7

Olivais e Moscavide

(Away)
19 Oct
Lusitano GC
4 : 1
Olivais e Moscavide
21 Sept
Olivais e Moscavide
2 : 0
Uniao Da Serra
14 Sept
Fayal
0 : 5
Olivais e Moscavide
21 Oct
Olivais e Moscavide
1 : 3
Sporting CP
24 Sept
Os Sandinenses
1 : 3
Olivais e Moscavide
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Pero Pinheiro 7
AD Portomosense 1
Ferreiras 2
Culatrense 0
SC Pombal 2
Tomar 1
TBD -
Vigor Mocidade -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilar de Perdizes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Sao Martinho -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarda Desportiva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Valadares Gaia FC 5
SC Salgueiros 2
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
SC Angrense -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Uniao Da Serra 5
Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1
TBD -
Oliveirense -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Maria de Fonte 0
Merelinense 4
TBD -
CD Rabo Peixe -
Alcains 0
Sertanense 1
TBD -
Castro Daire -
Lusitano FCV 0
Sanjoanense 3
Os Marialvas 3
Vila Cortez 1
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
Leca 1
GD Resende 2
FC Felgueiras 5
Mondinense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Lajense 3
Sao Roque 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
Juv. Evora 3
Moncarapachense 0
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Oriental Dragon 2
1º Dezembro 1
Canelas 2010 2
Regua 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Gondomar 1
Rebordosa 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Varzim 2
Vila Mea 1
TBD -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Marinhense 0
Leiria 1
Rebordelo 0
CDC Montalegre 5
Sao Joao de Ver 7
Mortagua FC 1
Esperanca de Lagos 2
Industria 0
Vila Caiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Amora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Caldas SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Covilha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Paivense -
TBD -
Santa Eulalia 0
Tirsense 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada -
TBD -
TBD -
Imortal -
SB Castelo Branco 8
Aguias do Moradal 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
GD Coruchense -
TBD -
TBD -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Moura AC -
TBD -
Dumiense 4
Brito 1
Sintrense 1
Fazendense 0
TBD -
Real SC -
Vilaverdense FC 3
Atletico Arcos 1
TBD -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oliveira Hospital 1
Lusitania FC 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Atletico SC 2
Olhanense 5
TBD -
Monte do Trigo -
Freamunde 2
GD Joane 3
TBD -
BSAD -
Machico -
TBD -
Alverca 2
Rio Maior SC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Fabril do Barreiro -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Oriental 1
FC Madalena 0
FC Alpendorada 0
Paredes 1
Silves FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Courense -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Camacha 1
Amarante FC 0
Arronches Benfica 2
Mosteirense 0
Vinhais 0
SC Vianense 4
GS Loures -
TBD -
Meda 0
Beira Mar 6
GD Braganca 2
Desportivo Moncao 1
TBD -
Montijo -
Agueda -
TBD -
TBD -
Pevidem -
Santarem 1
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
Mafra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
AD Fafe 5
CD Ribeira Brava 0
TBD -
Anadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
1º de Maio Funchal -
TBD -
Serpa 3
Castrense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Lusitano GC 0
GD Fontinhas 2
SC Lusitania 2
SC Praiense 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
1/64-finals
Pero Pinheiro 2
Ferreiras 1
SC Pombal 2
Vigor Mocidade 0
Vitoria Setubal 4
Vilar de Perdizes 0
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Sao Martinho 4
Guarda Desportiva 3
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Valadares Gaia FC 2
Olivais e Moscavide 0
TBD -
Chaves -
SC Angrense 0
Nacional 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Oliveirense 4
Academica 1
Tondela 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Merelinense 3
CD Rabo Peixe 4
Sertanense 3
Castro Daire 0
Sanjoanense 3
Os Marialvas 1
CF Os Belenenses 3
Torreense 1
GD Resende 1
FC Felgueiras 2
TBD -
Braga -
Lajense 1
Moreirense 3
Juv. Evora 2
Vilafranquense 3
Oriental Dragon 0
Canelas 2010 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Gondomar 2
Penafiel 3
TBD -
Vizela -
Varzim 1
Feirense 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Leiria 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Vila Caiz 1
Amora 3
TBD -
Estoril -
Caldas SC 3
Covilha 0
TBD -
Benfica -
Paivense 1
Tirsense 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Leixoes 5
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 0
Imortal 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
SC Farense 1
GD Coruchense 0
Trofense 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Moura AC 0
Dumiense 5
Sintrense 2
Real SC 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
Atletico CP 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oliveira Hospital 2
Estrela da Amadora 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Olhanense 1
Monte do Trigo 0
GD Joane 0
BSAD 3
Machico 2
Alverca 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Academico Viseu 6
Oriental 2
Paredes 1
Silves FC 3
Courense 5
ACDR Lamelas 0
Camacha 1
Arronches Benfica 0
SC Vianense 2
GS Loures 0
Beira Mar 3
GD Braganca 1
Montijo 0
Agueda 0
Pevidem 1
Santarem 0
Mafra 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
AD Fafe 1
Anadia 2
TBD -
FC Porto -
1º de Maio Funchal 0
Serpa 8
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
GD Fontinhas 5
SC Praiense 0
TBD -
Arouca -
1/32-finals
Pero Pinheiro 4
SC Pombal 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pacos Ferreira 0
Sao Martinho 0
Casa Pia 2
Valadares Gaia FC 3
Chaves 2
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 1
Tondela 2
Santa Clara 0
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Sertanense 1
Sanjoanense 3
CF Os Belenenses 2
FC Felgueiras 1
Braga 2
Moreirense 3
Vilafranquense 0
Canelas 2010 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Penafiel 3
Vizela 4
Varzim 1
Sporting CP 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Amora 2
Estoril 3
Caldas SC 1
Benfica 2
Tirsense 1
Leixoes 4
Imortal 0
SC Farense 3
Trofense 0
Famalicao 1
Dumiense 2
Real SC 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
Portimonense 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Rio Ave 2
Olhanense 0
BSAD 2
Machico 1
Boavista 0
Academico Viseu 1
Oriental 0
Courense 0
Camacha 6
SC Vianense 1
Beira Mar 2
GD Braganca 0
Pevidem 1
Mafra 4
Maritimo 2
Anadia 0
FC Porto 6
Serpa 0
Gil Vicente 3
GD Fontinhas 0
Arouca 2
1/16-finals
Pero Pinheiro 1
Vitoria Setubal 4
Casa Pia 2
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Nacional 1
Tondela 0
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Sanjoanense 0
Braga 2
Moreirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Vizela 1
Varzim 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Estoril 0
Benfica 1
Leixoes 3
SC Farense 1
Famalicao 4
Dumiense 1
Vilaverdense FC 7
Oliveira Hospital 0
BSAD 4
Machico 0
Academico Viseu 3
Camacha 0
Beira Mar 3
Pevidem 2
Mafra 0
FC Porto 3
Gil Vicente 1
Arouca 4
1/8-finals
Vitoria Setubal 0
Casa Pia 1
Nacional 1
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Braga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Varzim 0
Benfica 2
Leixoes 1
Famalicao 2
Vilaverdense FC 1
BSAD 4
Academico Viseu 2
Beira Mar 0
FC Porto 4
Arouca 0
Quarter-finals
Casa Pia 2
Nacional 5
Braga 2
Benfica 1
Famalicao 4
BSAD 1
Academico Viseu 0
FC Porto 1
Semi-finals
Nacional 2
Braga 7
Famalicao 3
FC Porto 5
Final
Braga 0
FC Porto 2