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Valadares Gaia FC vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between Valadares Gaia FC and Santa Cruz Alvarenga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Valadares Gaia FC
40%
Draws
29%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valadares Gaia FC come out ahead of Santa Cruz Alvarenga on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia FC Santa Cruz Alvarenga
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valadares Gaia FC vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
2:1
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:1
Dec 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Valadares Gaia FC vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1:1
Aug 29, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs Valadares Gaia FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 31 / 100
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia FC Santa Cruz Alvarenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz Alvarenga let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Away concern: Santa Cruz Alvarenga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Valadares Gaia FC scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Valadares Gaia FC VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valadares Gaia FC

(Home)
07 Apr
SC Salgueiros
6 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
Vila Mea
3 : 3
Valadares Gaia FC
09 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia FC
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Santa Cruz Alvarenga

(Away)
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
01 May
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
24 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
10 Apr
SC Espinho
2 : 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
03 Apr
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
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