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Valadares Gaia FC vs Vila Mea

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Pimenta F.
42' Event
Fernandes D.
78' Event
Matos P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 game between Valadares Gaia FC and Vila Mea finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Mea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Valadares Gaia FC
28%
Draws
50%
Vila Mea
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vila Mea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vila Mea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Vila Mea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 19%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia FC Vila Mea
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 14
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs Valadares Gaia FC
3:3
Dec 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Vila Mea
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valadares Gaia FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimenta F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 24 / 100
Vila Mea 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia FC Vila Mea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Valadares Gaia FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Vila Mea let in goals in 71% of their last 38 matches.

Valadares Gaia FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vila Mea
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amarante FC26178140:1559
2Sao Joao de Ver26129527:1845
3Gondomar26127728:2043
4AD Marco 0926118729:2241
5Rebordosa26812627:2336
6Paredes2698931:2535
7SC Salgueiros2698935:2635
8Vitoria Guimaraes B26810835:3234
9Beira Mar26810831:3134
10Florgrade2689924:2433
11Oliveira do Douro26681225:3326
12Valadares Gaia FC26661422:4724
13ACDR Lamelas26731619:3924
14Vila Mea26641627:4522