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Valdahon Vercel vs Jura Sud

France France

Coupe de France 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valdahon Vercel play Jura Sud in the Coupe de France 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Valdahon Vercel averaged 0 goals scored and 4 conceded. Jura Sud averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Valdahon Vercel won 0, Jura Sud won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 17, 2024 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Valdahon Vercel and 0.86 for Jura Sud. This points to a Jura Sud double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Valdahon Vercel
40%
Draws
30%
Jura Sud
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Jura Sud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Valdahon Vercel picked up more points recently compared to Jura Sud.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Valdahon Vercel Clean Sheet 25%
Jura Sud Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdahon Vercel Jura Sud
Matches Played 1 30
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 14
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 0 0.97
Goals Conceded 4 1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Coupe de France
Valdahon Vercel vs Jura Sud
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valdahon Vercel Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Jura Sud Compare

Top Goalscorer Dihad A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baradji A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdahon Vercel 32 / 100
Jura Sud 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdahon Vercel Jura Sud

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jura Sud or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Valdahon Vercel attacking → ← attacking Jura Sud

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valdahon Vercel scored in 0% of their last 1 games.

Jura Sud let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Valdahon Vercel went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Jura Sud lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 26
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75