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Valdefierro vs Epila

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Epila in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Epila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Valdefierro
15%
Draws
46%
Epila
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Epila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Epila lately — more wins on the board than Valdefierro.
  • Win probability leans Epila's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 20%
Epila Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdefierro Epila
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Valdefierro
1:0
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Epila
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdefierro 24 / 100
Epila 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdefierro Epila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Epila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Valdefierro scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Epila conceded in 35% of 31 recent games.

Valdefierro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Epila
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdefierro

(Home)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
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Epila

(Away)
20 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Epila
12 Sept
Epila
0 : 0
Andorra CF
06 Sept
CD Sietamo
0 : 2
Epila
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
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