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Valdelacalzada vs Emerita Augusta

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between Valdelacalzada and Emerita Augusta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valdelacalzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Valdelacalzada
6%
Draws
90%
Emerita Augusta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Emerita Augusta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valdelacalzada haven't matched Emerita Augusta's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Emerita Augusta a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Valdelacalzada Clean Sheet 10%
Emerita Augusta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valdelacalzada Emerita Augusta
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Valdelacalzada vs Emerita Augusta
1:0
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Emerita Augusta vs Valdelacalzada
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdelacalzada 10 / 100
Emerita Augusta 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valdelacalzada Emerita Augusta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emerita Augusta has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Emerita Augusta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Valdelacalzada found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Valdelacalzada VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valdelacalzada

(Home)
19 May
Montijo
3 : 0
Valdelacalzada
11 May
Valdelacalzada
1 : 1
Cacereno
04 May
CD Azuaga
5 : 0
Valdelacalzada
27 Apr
Valdelacalzada
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
20 Apr
CP Valdivia
2 : 0
Valdelacalzada
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Emerita Augusta

(Away)
19 May
Fuente de Cantos
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
12 May
Emerita Augusta
5 : 4
Cacereno II
05 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 1
Emerita Augusta
28 Apr
Emerita Augusta
0 : 1
Merida UD
21 Apr
Don Benito
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Extremadura UD38278375:1489
2UD Badajoz38248667:2480
3Don Benito382310555:2379
4Diter Zafra382211557:2377
5Jerez CF3816111151:3759
6Merida UD3815111247:3856
7Ciduad de Plasencia3815101350:3855
8UP Plasencia3815101355:4755
9Santa Amalia381581552:5453
10CD Coria381491547:4851
11Atletico San Jose Promesas381461844:5848
12Pueblonuevo3811101741:6043
13Miajadas381271940:5643
14RCP Valverdeno381191840:5642
15Hernan Cortes381181936:6441
16Cacereno II3810101848:5740
17Fuente de Cantos381091942:6839
18Moralo387171433:5238
19Emerita Augusta38872344:7731
20Valdelacalzada38772435:6528
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)