Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025

Valdepenas

1 - 1

Villarrubia

Our Tip

Match Events

Sabate F.

85'

Macharashvili L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 game between Valdepenas and Villarrubia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Valdepenas

Draws

90%

Villarrubia

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Villarrubia come out ahead of Valdepenas on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Villarrubia taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Valdepenas Clean Sheet 21%

Villarrubia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Valdepenas	Villarrubia
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	2	13
Draws	11	8
Losses	17	11
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Valdepenas vs Villarrubia

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Villarrubia vs Valdepenas

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valdepenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Macharashvili L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabate F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdepenas 10 / 100

Villarrubia 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Valdepenas Villarrubia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarrubia let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Valdepenas scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Villarrubia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villarrubia

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Quintanar del Rey	34	17	13	4	31:15	64
2	Albacete B	34	17	12	5	61:31	63
3	Toledo	34	18	8	8	47:17	62
4	Villacanas	34	18	8	8	39:29	62
5	Socuellamos	34	16	9	9	47:24	57
6	Huracan de Balazote	34	14	14	6	41:28	56
7	CD Tarancon	34	15	10	9	41:31	55
8	Cazalegas	34	14	7	13	47:44	49
9	Puertollano C.F.	34	11	15	8	39:39	48
10	Villarrubia	34	12	11	11	40:38	47
11	Manchego Ciudad Real	34	12	9	13	45:37	45
12	CD Pedroneras	34	11	10	13	37:43	43
13	Marchamalo	34	12	5	17	50:47	41
14	Azuqueca	34	10	11	13	40:49	41
15	Villarrobledo	34	10	9	15	31:49	36
16	Valdepenas	34	3	13	18	21:48	22
17	Noblejas	34	3	9	22	30:69	18
18	Manzanares	34	2	9	23	23:72	15