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Valencia vs Newcastle Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ugrinic F.
35'
Gaya J.
39'
Sub
Elanga A. In: Murphy J.
Out: Elanga A.

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newcastle Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Valencia
20%
Draws
44%
Newcastle Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newcastle Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newcastle Utd lately — more wins on the board than Valencia.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Valencia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Valencia Clean Sheet 13%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia Newcastle Utd
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Valencia vs Newcastle Utd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugrinic F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Newcastle Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Wissa Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia 35 / 100
Newcastle Utd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia Newcastle Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Valencia scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Valencia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valencia VS Newcastle Utd
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia

(Home)
24 Oct
Valencia
1 : 2
Villarreal
17 Oct
Valencia
0 : 0
Ath Bilbao
11 Oct
Racing Santander
2 : 2
Valencia
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
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Newcastle Utd

(Away)
25 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1
Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1
Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
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