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Valencia vs Real Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valencia host Real Madrid in the LaLiga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Valencia at 1.23 goals for, 1.43 against; Real Madrid at 2.34 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Valencia have won 1 to Real Madrid's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.06 - 2.00) back Real Madrid to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Valencia
20%
Draws
60%
Real Madrid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid come out ahead of Valencia on wins alone.
  • Real Madrid are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%
Real Madrid Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia Real Madrid
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 21
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.23 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Madrid
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Valencia
4:0
Apr 5, 2025 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Valencia
1:2
Jan 3, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Madrid
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Madrid
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia 10 / 100
Real Madrid 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia Real Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Valencia's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real Madrid has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Valencia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valencia VS Real Madrid
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia

(Home)
24 Oct
Valencia
1 : 2
Villarreal
17 Oct
Valencia
0 : 0
Ath Bilbao
11 Oct
Racing Santander
2 : 2
Valencia
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid

(Away)
25 Oct
Barcelona
1 : 2
Real Madrid
21 Oct
Real Madrid
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
18 Oct
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Sevilla
14 Oct
AS Roma
3 : 4
Real Madrid
10 Oct
Real Madrid
1 : 0
Villarreal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 10 9 0 1 40:11 27
2 Atl. Madrid 10 8 1 1 20:8 25
3 Real Madrid 10 8 0 2 25:10 24
4 Betis 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
5 Real Sociedad 10 6 1 3 19:18 19
6 Sevilla 10 5 2 3 16:16 17
7 Alaves 10 3 3 4 14:11 12
8 Ath Bilbao 9 3 3 3 12:9 12
9 Celta Vigo 10 2 6 2 10:7 12
10 Villarreal 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
11 Dep. A Coruna 10 2 5 3 13:13 11
12 Osasuna 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
13 Racing Santander 10 3 2 5 15:26 11
14 Levante 10 2 4 4 16:19 10
15 Elche 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
16 Rayo Vallecano 9 2 3 4 12:20 9
17 Getafe 10 2 3 5 5:15 9
18 Espanyol 10 2 2 6 12:14 8
19 Valencia 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
20 Malaga 10 0 5 5 7:19 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)