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Valencia W vs Real Madrid B W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Estadio Antonio Puchades, Valencia
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Bejarano N.
82' Event
Mrabet Y. K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 game between Valencia W and Real Madrid B W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Valencia W
20%
Draws
80%
Real Madrid B W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Real Madrid B W haven't matched Valencia W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Valencia W Clean Sheet 19%
Real Madrid B W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia W Real Madrid B W
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.26 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Valencia W vs Real Madrid B W
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Real Madrid B W vs Valencia W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valencia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Real Madrid B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bejarano N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia W 32 / 100
Real Madrid B W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia W Real Madrid B W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valencia W scored in 68% of their last 38 games.

Real Madrid B W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Real Madrid B W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Valencia W VS Real Madrid B W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.8
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia W

(Home)
04 Oct
Valencia W
0 : 1
Real Sociedad W
27 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
13 Sept
Logrono W
2 : 1
Valencia W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3
Madrid CFF W
Page 1 of 8

Real Madrid B W

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Cacereno W
27 Sept
Tenerife B W
3 : 1
Real Madrid B W
20 Sept
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Alhama W
13 Sept
CA Osasuna W
3 : 3
Real Madrid B W
02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B W 26 18 4 4 67:26 58
2 Alaves W 26 17 5 4 44:15 56
3 Valencia W 26 12 10 4 35:18 46
4 Real Madrid B W 26 12 5 9 35:27 41
5 Tenerife B W 26 11 6 9 34:36 39
6 Villarreal W 26 10 8 8 35:31 38
7 CA Osasuna W 26 9 6 11 30:26 33
8 Albacete W 26 8 9 9 25:33 33
9 Cacereno W 26 8 7 11 22:33 31
10 Atl. Madrid B W 26 8 7 11 26:32 31
11 SE AEM W 26 8 6 12 26:36 30
12 CE Europa W 26 6 5 15 29:47 23
13 Betis W 26 5 8 13 24:48 23
14 Real Oviedo W 26 4 6 16 18:42 18
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)