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Valenciennes II vs Senart-Moissy

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CFA - Group A 2011/2012
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Match Events

56' Event

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group A 2011/2012 game between Valenciennes II and Senart-Moissy finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Senart-Moissy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Valenciennes II
30%
Draws
23%
Senart-Moissy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valenciennes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Senart-Moissy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Senart-Moissy's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular CFA - Group A 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Valenciennes II Clean Sheet 20%
Senart-Moissy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenciennes II Senart-Moissy
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 14 11
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.78 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2012 National 1 - Group A
Valenciennes II vs Senart-Moissy
0:1
Jan 28, 2012 National 1 - Group A
Senart-Moissy vs Valenciennes II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenciennes II 24 / 100
Senart-Moissy 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenciennes II Senart-Moissy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senart-Moissy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Senart-Moissy conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Senart-Moissy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Valenciennes II scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Valenciennes II VS Senart-Moissy
0.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.67
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenciennes II

(Home)
25 May
Calvi
7 : 0
Valenciennes II
18 May
Valenciennes II
1 : 2
Dunkerque
11 May
Chambly
4 : 0
Valenciennes II
04 May
Valenciennes II
0 : 0
Poissy
01 May
Valenciennes II
3 : 2
Lille II
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Senart-Moissy

(Away)
14 Nov
Panazol
2 : 1
Senart-Moissy
07 Feb
JA Drancy
2 : 0
Senart-Moissy
12 Nov
Les Sables
4 : 1
Senart-Moissy
02 Jun
Senart-Moissy
0 : 0
Villemomble
23 May
Calvi
1 : 1
Senart-Moissy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borgo 34 20 7 7 53:33 101
2 Aubervilliers 34 19 7 8 53:34 98
3 Dunkerque 34 17 12 5 50:31 97
4 Auxerre II 34 19 5 10 60:36 96
5 JA Drancy 34 15 10 9 35:32 88
6 Lens II 34 13 11 10 48:39 84
7 Calvi 34 13 11 10 58:51 84
8 Amiens AC 34 14 8 12 41:40 84
9 Ivry 34 14 7 13 50:40 83
10 Lille II 34 13 10 11 44:42 82
11 Compiegne 34 12 7 15 44:52 77
12 Poissy 34 7 17 10 43:47 72
13 Valenciennes II 34 11 5 18 44:52 72
14 PSG II 34 8 11 15 32:38 69
15 Alfortville 34 7 11 16 36:55 66
16 Senart-Moissy 34 6 13 15 22:45 65
17 Villemomble 34 6 12 16 24:47 64
18 Avion 34 5 10 19 34:57 59
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)