Sport Picks
Valenciennes vs Bourg Peronnas Prediction & H2H Stats
France
Ligue 3 Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes 
Match Events
22'
22'
Ekra R.
Assist: Rocchia C.
31'
31'
Coelho G.
32'
32'
Gharbi A.
AI Match Summary
Valenciennes in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valenciennes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valenciennes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Valenciennes lately — more wins on the board than Bourg Peronnas.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Valenciennes taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 68%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valenciennes | Bourg Peronnas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Bourg Peronnas
2:0
May 9, 2026 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Valenciennes
1:0
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Bourg Peronnas
3:1
Apr 4, 2025 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Valenciennes
1:0
Nov 8, 2024 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Bourg Peronnas
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valenciennes Compare
Top Goalscorer Ekra R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marcel V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Bourg Peronnas Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valenciennes 77 / 100
Bourg Peronnas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valenciennes Bourg Peronnas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valenciennes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valenciennes found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Bourg Peronnas conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Bourg Peronnas lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Valenciennes VS Bourg Peronnas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Valenciennes
(Home) 03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0 Concarneau
14 Aug
Valenciennes
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
31 Jul
Valenciennes
1 : 1 Boulogne
Page 1 of 3
Bourg Peronnas
(Away) 03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1 Concarneau
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1 Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1 Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Caen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1 Bourg Peronnas
29 Aug
Aubagne FC
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
14 Aug
Valenciennes
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
11 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
