Sport Picks
Valenciennes vs Fleury 91 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes 
Match Events
22'
22'
Karamoko H.
23'
23'
Rouai M.
Assist: Wahib A.
26'
26'
Marechal T.
AI Match Summary
Fleury 91 in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fleury 91.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fleury 91
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fleury 91 lately — more wins on the board than Valenciennes.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Fleury 91 have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 17%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valenciennes | Fleury 91 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Fleury 91
1:2
Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes
2:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Fleury 91
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valenciennes Compare
Top Goalscorer Rouai M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Fleury 91 Compare
Top Goalscorer Verdier Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valenciennes 36 / 100
Fleury 91 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valenciennes Fleury 91
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valenciennes found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Fleury 91 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Valenciennes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Valenciennes VS Fleury 91
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Valenciennes
(Home) 03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0 Concarneau
14 Aug
Valenciennes
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
31 Jul
Valenciennes
1 : 1 Boulogne
Page 1 of 3
Fleury 91
(Away) 03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2 Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2 Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1 Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1 Villefranche
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1 Fleury 91
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1 Fleury 91
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1 Fleury 91
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1 Fleury 91
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
