Sport Picks
Valenciennes vs Le Puy-en-Velay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes 
Match Events
24'
24'
Ndiaye J.
44'
44'
Gauthier A.
Assist: Kouassi E.
50'
50'
Sub
Dembele M. In: Ghalem T.
Out: Dembele M.
AI Match Summary
Valenciennes in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valenciennes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Puy-en-Velay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Le Puy-en-Velay have won more games recently than Valenciennes.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Valenciennes here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 20%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valenciennes | Le Puy-en-Velay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:1
Jan 23, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Valenciennes
3:0
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valenciennes Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndiaye J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Linyon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Le Puy-en-Velay Compare
Top Goalscorer Gauthier A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valenciennes 32 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valenciennes Le Puy-en-Velay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Le Puy-en-Velay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Valenciennes scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Le Puy-en-Velay has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Valenciennes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Valenciennes VS Le Puy-en-Velay
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Valenciennes
(Home) 03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0 Concarneau
14 Aug
Valenciennes
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
31 Jul
Valenciennes
1 : 1 Boulogne
Page 1 of 3
Le Puy-en-Velay
(Away) 03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0 Thionville
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1 Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1 Orleans
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
29 Aug
Cannes
2 : 0 Le Puy-en-Velay
14 Aug
Versailles
1 : 0 Le Puy-en-Velay
07 Aug
Bastia
0 : 2 Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
