Sport Picks
Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebud
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Croudace Bay Complex, Lake Macquarie 
Match Events
14'
14'
Fajkovic D.
44'
44'
Naylor C.
60'
60'
Fajkovic D.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Northern NSW game between Valentine and Adamstown Rosebud finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adamstown Rosebud.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valentine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Valentine come out ahead of Adamstown Rosebud on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Valentine's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Adamstown Rosebud have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Valentine Clean Sheet 16%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valentine | Adamstown Rosebud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Valentine
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebud
0:3
Jun 25, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebud
2:4
Feb 21, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Valentine
3:2
Aug 3, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebud
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valentine Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Adamstown Rosebud Compare
Top Goalscorer Fajkovic D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Naylor C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valentine 48 / 100
Adamstown Rosebud 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valentine Adamstown Rosebud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valentine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Valentine found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Adamstown Rosebud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Valentine has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Valentine VS Adamstown Rosebud
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Valentine
(Home) 16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0 Weston Workers Bears
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2 Valentine
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1 Valentine
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2 Kahibah
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0 Weston Workers Bears
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2 Kahibah
27 Jun
Valentine
1 : 1 Lambton Jaffas FC
20 Jun
Valentine
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
Page 1 of 4
Adamstown Rosebud
(Away) 16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 2 Cooks Hill United
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1 Valentine
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
27 Jun
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
24 Jun
Kahibah
1 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Maitland | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 48:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 47:44 | 35 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 43:36 | 33 |
| 7 | Valentine | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:39 | 26 |
| 8 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 38:33 | 25 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:40 | 21 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 35:53 | 20 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25:62 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
