Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Northern NSW Croudace Bay Complex

Valentine

1 - 2

Belmont Swansea United

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Karihaloo L.

19'

Newton R.

65'

McGee A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Valentine and Belmont Swansea United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belmont Swansea United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Valentine

28%

Draws

50%

Belmont Swansea United

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Belmont Swansea United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Belmont Swansea United come out ahead of Valentine on wins alone.
Model gives Belmont Swansea United a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Valentine Clean Sheet 10%

Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Valentine	Belmont Swansea United
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	8	11
Draws	6	7
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	1.13	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Belmont Swansea United vs Valentine

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Feb 21, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Valentine vs Belmont Swansea United

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 4 - 0

1:2

May 31, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Belmont Swansea United vs Valentine

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Mar 1, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Valentine vs Belmont Swansea United

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valentine Compare

Top Goalscorer Karihaloo L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Belmont Swansea United Compare

Top Goalscorer Newton R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader McGee A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valentine 22 / 100

Belmont Swansea United 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Valentine Belmont Swansea United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Belmont Swansea United conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Valentine scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Valentine went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valentine VS Belmont Swansea United

1.13 Goals Scored 2.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic FC	18	12	4	2	49:22	40
2	Belmont Swansea United	17	9	5	3	40:30	32
3	Weston Workers Bears	17	9	3	5	34:29	30
4	Maitland	17	9	3	5	33:28	30
5	Edgeworth Eagles FC	17	8	5	4	34:29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36:31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas FC	18	6	4	8	35:29	22
8	Valentine	18	5	4	9	18:36	19
9	Newcastle Olympic	18	4	6	8	33:32	18
10	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25:36	17
11	Kahibah	17	4	2	11	26:41	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	17	4	2	11	24:44	14