Sport Picks
Valentine vs Newcastle Olympic
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Croudace Bay Complex, Lake Macquarie 
Match Events
19'
19'
Muller J.
32'
32'
Gaffney M.
41'
41'
Southcombe W.
AI Match Summary
Newcastle Olympic in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newcastle Olympic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valentine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Valentine have won more games recently than Newcastle Olympic.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Valentine Clean Sheet 12%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valentine | Newcastle Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine
1:2
May 2, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Newcastle Olympic
1:6
Jun 15, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Newcastle Olympic
1:3
Jul 14, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valentine Compare
Top Goalscorer Gaffney M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Newcastle Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Bradbury K.
3 Goals Assists Leader Muller J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valentine 35 / 100
Newcastle Olympic 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valentine Newcastle Olympic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newcastle Olympic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Olympic has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Valentine scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Valentine has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Valentine VS Newcastle Olympic
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Valentine
(Home) 16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0 Weston Workers Bears
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2 Valentine
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1 Valentine
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2 Kahibah
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0 Weston Workers Bears
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2 Kahibah
27 Jun
Valentine
1 : 1 Lambton Jaffas FC
20 Jun
Valentine
2 : 1 Edgeworth Eagles FC
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Newcastle Olympic
(Away) 16 Aug
Lambton Jaffas FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2 Valentine
26 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Lambton Jaffas FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
26 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
21 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
30 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Maitland | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 48:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 47:44 | 35 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 43:36 | 33 |
| 7 | Valentine | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:39 | 26 |
| 8 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 38:33 | 25 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:40 | 21 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 35:53 | 20 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25:62 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
