Sport Picks
Valenzana vs Celle Varazze Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
West R.
58'
58'
Capra E.
72'
72'
Doria A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celle Varazze
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Valenzana haven't matched Celle Varazze's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Valenzana's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 68%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valenzana | Celle Varazze |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs Celle Varazze
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Valenzana
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valenzana Compare
Top Goalscorer West R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Doria A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Celle Varazze Compare
Top Goalscorer Capra E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Akkari S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valenzana 59 / 100
Celle Varazze 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valenzana Celle Varazze
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valenzana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valenzana found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Celle Varazze let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Celle Varazze's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Valenzana VS Celle Varazze
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Valenzana
(Home) 27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2 Valenzana
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1 GSD Lascaris
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1 Valenzana
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Alessandria
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1 GSD Lascaris
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Alessandria
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3 Chisola
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0 Lavagnese
Page 1 of 3
Celle Varazze
(Away) 20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2 Ligorna
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1 Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0 Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1 Derthona FbC
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1 Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1 Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0 Celle Varazze
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1 Celle Varazze
19 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1 Celle Varazze
02 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 3 Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vado | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 57 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 56 |
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)
