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Valerenga vs Brann - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Intility Arena, Oslo
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valerenga host Brann in the Eliteserien. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Brann have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Valerenga have conceded 1.93 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Brann slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.94, favoring Brann. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Valerenga
20%
Draws
44%
Brann
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brann lately — more wins on the board than Valerenga.
  • Win probability leans Valerenga's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brann have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%
Brann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga Brann
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Brann vs Valerenga
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 Eliteserien
Brann vs Valerenga
3:2
May 3, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Brann
2:4
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Brann vs Valerenga
2:1
Feb 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Brann
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga 47 / 100
Brann 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga Brann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brann's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Valerenga's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Valerenga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga VS Brann
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga

(Home)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4
Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
Page 1 of 6

Brann

(Away)
09 Oct
Brann
0 : 2
Viking
02 Oct
Start
2 : 1
Brann
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1
Bodo/Glimt
16 Sept
OS TF
1 : 2
Brann
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 22 9 2 11 39:34 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)