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Stadium Background

Valerenga vs Ham-Kam

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Intility Arena, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Bjordal H.
44'
Sub
Opsahl H. In: Sjolstad F.
Out: Opsahl H.
45' Event
Potur A.
Assist: Gjone M.

AI Match Summary

Ham-Kam in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ham-Kam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Valerenga
30%
Draws
31%
Ham-Kam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valerenga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ham-Kam haven't matched Valerenga's recent run of results.
  • Valerenga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 68%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga Ham-Kam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Ham-Kam
0:3
May 8, 2026 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Valerenga
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Valerenga
2:1
May 16, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Ham-Kam
1:1
May 8, 2024 NM Cup
Valerenga vs Ham-Kam
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ham-Kam Compare

Top Goalscorer Potur A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gjone M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga 95 / 100
Ham-Kam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga Ham-Kam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ham-Kam has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Valerenga scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Valerenga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga VS Ham-Kam
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga

(Home)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4
Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
Page 1 of 6

Ham-Kam

(Away)
20 Sept
Tromso
3 : 2
Ham-Kam
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)