Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Valerenga host Molde in the Eliteserien. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Molde have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Valerenga have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.82. Head-to-head, Valerenga have won 0 to Molde's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.13, favoring Valerenga. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Valerenga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Valerenga's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
- Molde have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valerenga | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Molde conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Valerenga scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Valerenga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Valerenga
(Home)Molde
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43:12 | 41 |
| 2 | Viking | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40:17 | 40 |
| 3 | Tromso | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 5 | Molde | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 29:24 | 24 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 7 | Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33:27 | 22 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:21 | 22 |
| 9 | Ham-Kam | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Valerenga | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23:29 | 20 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:27 | 20 |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19:27 | 19 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | 15 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 22:36 | 14 |
| 16 | Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16:38 | 10 |
