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Valerenga vs Sandefjord Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hagen E.
11' Event
Dunsby J.
24' Event
Bjordal H.

AI Match Summary

Valerenga in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valerenga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Valerenga
35%
Draws
40%
Sandefjord
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sandefjord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Valerenga average 1.97 goals a game right now, well clear of Sandefjord's 1.76.
  • 25% — that's where the model lands on Valerenga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valerenga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga Sandefjord
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Sandefjord
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Sandefjord
5:2
Aug 3, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Sandefjord
2:1
May 11, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Valerenga
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Valerenga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagen E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjordal H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sandefjord Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunsby J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smajlovic Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga 38 / 100
Sandefjord 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga Sandefjord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Valerenga scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sandefjord conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Valerenga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga VS Sandefjord
2.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga

(Home)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4
Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
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Sandefjord

(Away)
30 Sept
Flint
0 : 1
Sandefjord
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Viking
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0 : 0
Brann
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