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Valerenga vs Sandefjord

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hagen E.
11' Event
Dunsby J.
24' Event
Bjordal H.

AI Match Summary

Valerenga in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valerenga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Valerenga
6%
Draws
4%
Sandefjord
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valerenga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valerenga have won more games recently than Sandefjord.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Valerenga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valerenga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 19%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga Sandefjord
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Sandefjord
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Sandefjord
5:2
Aug 3, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Sandefjord
2:1
May 11, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Valerenga
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Valerenga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagen E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjordal H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sandefjord Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunsby J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smajlovic Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga 85 / 100
Sandefjord 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga Sandefjord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Valerenga scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Sandefjord conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Valerenga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga VS Sandefjord
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga

(Home)
26 Jul
Brann
2 : 3
Valerenga
16 Jul
Valerenga
6 : 1
Aalesund
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1
Fredrikstad
27 Jun
Valerenga
1 : 2
GAIS
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Sandefjord

(Away)
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1
Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
30 May
Molde
2 : 1
Sandefjord
25 May
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
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