Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valerenga W vs Honefoss W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Intility Arena, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Horte S.
Assist: Lowry H.
51' Event
Preus M.
Assist: Enger T.
57'
Sub
Brekken S. In: Klech L.
Out: Brekken S.

AI Match Summary

The Toppserien Women game between Valerenga W and Honefoss W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Valerenga W
30%
Draws
31%
Honefoss W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valerenga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Honefoss W haven't matched Valerenga W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Valerenga W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Valerenga W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 20%
Honefoss W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga W Honefoss W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.48 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Honefoss W
2:1
May 8, 2026 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Valerenga W
0:3
Sep 3, 2025 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Valerenga W
0:1
Jun 19, 2025 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Honefoss W
7:0
Apr 29, 2025 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Valerenga W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Horte S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Preus M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Honefoss W Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderdal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga W 42 / 100
Honefoss W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga W Honefoss W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Valerenga W scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Honefoss W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Valerenga W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga W VS Honefoss W
3.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga W

(Home)
04 Oct
Valerenga W
1 : 1
Rosenborg W
30 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Feyenoord W
26 Sept
Molde W
0 : 4
Valerenga W
23 Sept
Feyenoord W
4 : 1
Valerenga W
17 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Haugesund W
Page 1 of 6

Honefoss W

(Away)
04 Oct
Honefoss W
3 : 0
Bodo/Glimt W
26 Sept
Lyn W
1 : 1
Honefoss W
19 Sept
Honefoss W
0 : 0
Roa W
13 Sept
Molde W
0 : 1
Honefoss W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 18 15 2 1 54:6 47
2 Aalesund W 18 14 2 2 44:17 44
3 Rosenborg W 18 11 5 2 33:20 38
4 Valerenga W 18 11 2 5 46:25 35
5 Stabaek W 18 8 3 7 36:20 27
6 Lyn W 18 7 5 6 34:26 26
7 Molde W 18 5 3 10 23:36 18
8 Haugesund W 18 5 3 10 25:44 18
9 Honefoss W 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 LSK Kvinner W 18 4 3 11 24:35 15
11 Roa W 18 3 5 10 18:37 14
12 Bodo/Glimt W 18 1 3 14 11:68 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)